2014 24 Hours of Le Mans Prediction Competition

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Welcome to the 3rd annual Le Mans Prediction Competition. Rules are carrying over from last year, and still very similar to what @Earth conceived a couple years ago.

Results

  1. Mac K (15 + 10 + 15 + 10) 50
  2. LongbowX (12 + 12 + 17 + 3 + Bonus2) 46
  3. aarror (10 + 10 + 10 + 15) 45
  4. SagarisGTB (15 + 5 + 10 + 10) 40
  5. AudiMan2011 (15 + 3 + 15 + 1) 34
  6. GT HP Nut (15 + 0 + 6 + 12) 33
  7. Spacegoat (12 + 2 + 13 + 5) 32
  8. IforceV8 (12 + 0 + 15 + 2) 29
  9. Furinkazen (10 + 7 + 11 + 0) 28
  10. Earth (15 + 2 + 10 + 0) 27
  11. CarBastard (10 + 3 + 12 + 1) 26
  12. Azure Flare (5 + 7 + 7 + 3) 22
  13. C-ZETA (5 + 2 + 13 + 1) 21
  14. Snaeper (10 + 2 + 1 + 7) 20
  15. BKGlover (7 + 5 + 7 + 1) 20
  16. TheBook (5 + 2 + 3 + 3) 13

Deadline: Before the race starts on Saturday June 14th, 2014

You are welcome to change your submissions as often as you'd like before the race starts, however posts after 15:00 CEST on June 14th and edits after June 13th will not be accepted.

There are 4 classes of cars racing at Le Mans and you will pick up to two entries that you predict will finish highly in each class.

The classes are:
LMP1(this competition does not distinguish between LMP1-H and LMP1-L)
LMP2
GTE Pro
GTE Am

If a car does not finish the race, it does not score any points. If the car is not classified, it does not score any points. Points will be awarded in a 10-7-5-3-2-1 format based on where the car finishes in it's class (i.e. the top 6 finishers in class score points).

You are allowed to pick 2 cars from each class, however you cannot pick two of the same car from each class. For example, you cannot choose both Toyota TS040s, but you can choose one Audi R18 and one Toyota TS040. Or one Toyota TS040 and one Porsche 919. Same rules apply in the LMP2 and GT classes. You cannot choose two Ferrari 458s or two Corvette C7.Rs for example. You must include the car make, model, and (most importantly) racing number in your submission.

Bonus: Bonus points can be earned by correctly predicting how many laps will be completed by this year's unclassified Garage 56 entry, the Nissan ZEOD RC. One point will be earned for a prediction that is 15 or fewer laps from the correct answer. Two points will be given to the closest prediction, regardless if it is within 15 laps of the correct answer. If the closest prediction is equal or less than 15 laps from the correct answer, three points (1+2) will be earned.

Entry list to help you make your predictions:
http://www.24h-lemans.com/wpphpFich...du-mans/entry-list-24-heures-du-mans-2014.pdf

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_24_Hours_of_Le_Mans

An example of an acceptable entry would look like this:
LMP1
#1 Audi R18
#7 Toyota TS040

LMP2
#24 Oreca 03
#26 Morgan LMP2

GTE Pro
#51 Ferrari 458
#73 Corvette C7.R

GTE Am
#53 Ferrari 458
#67 Porsche 911

Bonus: 350 laps

Good luck. :)
 
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Hopefully, I can come back from my loss last year.

LMP1
#8 Toyota Racing Toyota TS040 Hybrid
#14 Porsche Team Porsche 919

LMP2
#35 OAK Racing Ligier JS P2-Nissan
#36 Signatech Alpine A450b-Nissan

LMGTE Pro
#73 Corvette Racing Chevrolet Corvette C7.R
#91 Porsche Team Manthey Porsche 911 RSR

LMGTE Am
#77 Dempsey Racing-Proton Porsche 911 RSR
#98 Aston Martin Racing Aston Martin Vantage GTE
 
LMP1:
#8 Toyota TS040 Hybrid
#2 Audi R18 TDI e-tron quattro

LMP2:
#24 Sebastian Loeb Racing Oreca 03R-Nissan
#26 G-Drive Racing Morgan-Nissan

LM GTE Pro
#92 Porsche Team Manthey Porsche 911 RSR
#51 AF Corse Ferrari 458 Italia

LM GTE Am
#98 Aston Martin Racing Aston Martin V8 Vantage
#53 RAM Racing Ferrari 458 Italia

Bonus: 337 laps
 
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Wow I was going to make one this past week but got lazy, I even have the link form for people to pick from if you want @SagarisGTB I was planning on giving a prize but I was beat.
 
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LMP1:
#8 Toyota TS040 Hybrid
#2 Audi R18 TDI e-tron quattro

LMP2:
#50 Morgan Judd
#35 Liger Nissan

LM GTE Pro
#91 Porsche Team Manthey Porsche 911 RSR
#51 AF Corse Ferrari 458 Italia

LM GTE Am
#75 Porsche 911
#70Ferrari 458

Bonus: 140 laps
 
LMP1:
#8 Toyota TS040
#20 Porsche 919

LMP2:
#35 Ligier JSP2
#41 Zytek S11SN

GTE Pro:
#51 Ferrari 458
#74 Corvette C7.R

GTE Am:
#70 Ferrari 458
#98 Aston Martin Vantage

Bonus: 300 laps
 
Ehh, why not.

LMP1:
#1 Audi R18 e-tron
#20 Porsche 919 Hybrid

LMP2:
#33 Ligier-Honda
#36 Alpine-Nissan

LMGTE Pro:
#73 Crovette C7.R
#91 Porsche 911 RSR

LMGTE Am:
#79 Porsche 911 GT3 RSR
#98 Aston Martin Vantage GTE

Nissan ZEOD RC: 175 laps
 
LMP1:
#8 Toyota
#1 Audi

LMP2:
#26 Morgan
#42 Zytek

GTE Pro:
#51 Ferrari
#92 Porsche

GTE Am:
#77 Porsche
#66 Ferrari

Bonus: 65 laps
 
I'm just going to pick my emotional picks rather than rack my brain over who I think is going to win... for LMP1 anyways...

LMP1:
#2 Audi
#20 Porsche

LMP2:
#26 G-Drive Morgan-Nissan
#35 OAK Ligier JS P2-Nissan

GTE Pro:
#91 Porsche Team Manthey
#97 Aston Martin

GTE Am:
#77 Dempsey Porsche
#61 AF Corse Ferrari

Bonus: 215 laps
 
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LMP1:
#8 Toyota TS040
#20 Porsche 919

LMP2:
#26 Morgan-Nissan
#35 Ligier JS-Nissan

GTE-Pro:
#74 Corvette C7.R
#91 Porsche 911

GTE-Am:
#77 Porsche 911
#98 Aston Martin V8 Vantage

Bonus: 310 laps
 
Man, this race could go any way in any class, picking is really a crapshoot. Ah well, here goes:

LMP1:
#7 Toyota TSO40
#2 Audi R18 e-tron

LMP2:
#26 G-Drive Racing Morgan-Nissan
#38 Jota Sport Zytek Z11SN-Nissan

GTE Pro:
#51 AF Corsa Ferrari 458
#91 Porsche AG Team Manthey 911 RSR

GTE Am:
#95 Aston Martin Racing V8 Vantage
#61 AF Corsa Ferrari 458

Bonus: 257 Laps
 
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LMP1:
#8 Toyota TS040.
#1 Audi R18 E-Tron.

LMP2:
#35 Oak Racing Ligier JS Nissan.
#50 Larbre Competition Morgan Judd.

GTE Pro:
#51 AF Corsa Ferrari 458.
#74 Corvette Racing Corvette C7.

GTE Am:
#61 AF Corsa Ferrari 458.
#79 Prospeed Competition Porsche 911 GT3 RSR.

Bonus: 225 laps.
 
LMP1:

#2 Audi R18 e-tron
#8 Toyota TS040

LMP2:

#46 Thiriet by TDS Racing Ligies JS P2 (Nissan)
#24 Sebastian Loeb Racing Oreca 03-R (Nissan)

GTE-Pro:
#92 Porsche Team Manthey Porsche 911 RSR
#51 AF Corse Ferrari 458 Italia

GTE-Am:

#95 Aston Martin Racing Aston Martin V8 Vantage
#53 RAM Racing Ferrari 458 Italia

Bonus: 167 laps

Wow, so many quality entries to choose from, a bunch of really good cars and teams.
 
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Wow I was going to make one this past week but got lazy, I even have the link form for people to pick from if you want @SagarisGTB I was planning on giving a prize but I was beat.
It might be a little late now, but shoot me a pm with the link form.

My entry:
LMP1
#2 Audi R18 e-tron quattro
#8 Toyota TS040

LMP2
#26 Morgan LMP2
#36 Alpine A450b

GTE Pro
#51 Ferrari 458 GT2
#91 Porsche 991 GT3-RSR

GTE Am
#72 Ferrari 458 GT2
#95 Aston Martin Vantage GTE

Bonus: 319 laps
 
My picks:

After seeing the #99 Aston cannot compete... :(
LMP1
#8 Toyota TS040
#2 Audi R18 e-tron Quattro

LMP2
#26 G-Drive Racing Morgan
#27 SMP Racing Oreca

GTE Pro
#92 Porsche 911 RSR
#97 Aston Martin V8 Vantage

GTE Am
#61 AF Corse Ferrari 458
#88 Proton Competition Porsche 911 RSR

Bonus: 290 laps
 
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My predictions:

LMP1
#14 Porsche 919
#2 Audi R18

LMP2
#26 Morgan LMP2
#24 Oreca 03

GTE Pro
#73 Corvette C7.R
#92 Porsche 911 RSR

GTE Am
#98 Aston Martin Vantage
#62 Ferrari

Bonus: 315 laps
 
LMP1
#8 Toyota Racing Toyota TS040 Hybrid
#1 Audi R18 e-tron Quattro

LMP2
#35 OAK Racing Ligier JS P2-Nissan
#38 Jota Zytek Z11SN Nissan

LMGTE Pro
#73 Corvette Racing Chevrolet Corvette C7.R
#51 AF Corse Ferrari 458 Italia

LMGTE Am
#77 Dempsey Racing-Proton Porsche 911 RSR
#98 Aston Martin Racing Aston Martin Vantage GTE
Bonus: 60 laps
 
LMP1:
#7 Toyota
#2 Audi

LMP2:
#26 Morgan
#46 Ligier

GTE PRO:
#51 Ferrari
#97 Aston

GTE AM
#67 Porsche
#81 Ferrari

Bonus: 165 Laps.
 
Results

  1. Mac K (15 + 10 + 15 + 10) 50
  2. LongbowX (12 + 12 + 17 + 3 + Bonus2) 46
  3. aarror (10 + 10 + 10 + 15) 45
  4. SagarisGTB (15 + 5 + 10 + 10) 40
  5. AudiMan2011 (15 + 3 + 15 + 1) 34
  6. GT HP Nut (15 + 0 + 6 + 12) 33
  7. Spacegoat (12 + 2 + 13 + 5) 32
  8. IforceV8 (12 + 0 + 15 + 2) 29
  9. Furinkazen (10 + 7 + 11 + 0) 28
  10. Earth (15 + 2 + 10 + 0) 27
  11. CarBastard (10 + 3 + 12 + 1) 26
  12. Azure Flare (5 + 7 + 7 + 3) 22
  13. C-ZETA (5 + 2 + 13 + 1) 21
  14. Snaeper (10 + 2 + 1 + 7) 20
  15. BKGlover (7 + 5 + 7 + 1) 20
  16. TheBook (5 + 2 + 3 + 3) 13
Congratulations to @Mac K for winning the competition, @LongbowX for finishing second and @aarror for finishing third. Special congratulations to aarror for picking all 4 winners; it's only the second time this has happened in the 3 years of this format of prediction competition. And thanks to all for participating.
 
Congrats Mac! Go Canada, 1-2-3!

I'm pretty stoked on picking all 4 winners, those 2 retirements really hurt me though. The Zeod really caught us all by surprise, it seems no one thought it would be out that early.
 
I had strong picks that all had poor showings. At least I picked the overall winner.
 
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