I'm asking stock vs stock.
As I implied above, race cars are by default designed to be tuned. To consider them stock is like accepting their default setup as sufficient for any track. Most road cars can't be tuned by default (at least not to comparable extent), so it's more like stock road cars vs. tunable race cars if you want to expose the differences.
First of all, I generally agree with
@Nielsen here.
BUT
To answer
@warp9engage properly, you'd have to discount the inherent adjustability of the racing cars and just run everything as it comes out of the box, with the 'Force Stock Upgrades and Tuning' option enabled.
If you were to do that, I suspect that most of the time, most people would be faster in the racing cars on most tracks, within a given PI range. I think the road cars end up much higher than they really ought to in PI because of how fast they are on the long straights. By and large, they have no chance of keeping up in the corners or on the brakes.
At a track like the Daytona 24 Hour Course or Monza, you might see some of them put up a fight, but anywhere with meaningful technical sections or only short straights, it won't be much of a contest. The race cars brake so much later and can (generally) put the power down so much better, on short tracks and between corners they're insane. Stuff like the Cinque or the P1 ar very good for street cars, but they can't compete with the tires and mammoth downforces on display from the proper GTs.
Now, saying all that, I think it's actually fairly reasonable to expect something like the P1 or the TheFerrari to come close to (or maybe outdo) something like a GT3 car. Modern racing cars are so incredibly restricted in so many ways, and road cars largely aren't. For example, the active aero on the P1 helps a lot with braking and lowers itself to reduce drag at high speed- a GT3 car has a fixed wing that does none of that.
Add on to that the restrictions on engines, and it's not surprising that the very top strata of road cars are capable of outdoing things like GT3 cars. They're making almost double the power, have advanced hybrid-AWD systems, are close to as light (if not lighter, class minimum weights and such), and can make use of the bleeding edge of active aerodynamics.
When you think about it, the only thing the GT car really has going for it are the slicks.
Does anyone really thing that the P1GTR isn't easily faster than a current GT car? And yeah, that's a good bit different than the P1, but it's not
that different. Throw some slicks on a P1 and you're well on towards getting there.