499 would be my ceiling, what we don't know is if XBL prices will hike again, of if there will be a new tier.
Also there's a lot of missinformation about the subscription model. People are spreading around that XBL was gonna price hike to 15/mo because of the 15 dollar a month sub pricing, which for the informed, it's just the cost of the console plus the XBL... seems stupid to clarify, but there has been a lot of stupid around lately. There's also the rumor that this subsidized model was cut for some reason.
But at least for me, if the games/service/content justifies the price, I'll pay it gladly. I haven't drank the kool aid yet, but I wanna see what all that cloud computing ends up being... and if that whole dedicated server per game statements are true. But on first impression, even if it wasn't all that solid,seems I'll bite