Let me break the Wild Card chase down.
Newman: Ryan Newman will not hold the 2nd Wild Card spot. Despite running strong this season, his strong finishes were due to luck, and I do not see "Rocket Man" finishing very high up in the next 4 races.
Ky. Busch: Rowdy will make the chase. Though a lot of people are thinking that Gordon will appear in the chase, Wild Thing dominates the next 4 tracks, notably Bristol and Richmond, left until the chase and may be able to pick up another win.
Gordon: He's out. I believe that Gordon can put on a solid run before the chase cutoff, but he won't be able to pick up another win. Kyle Busch is too much competition for Big Daddy to deal with. Despite the fact that he can pick up one more win before the chase, Gordon does not look competitive enough to keep up with Busch.
I would talk about Edwards, but he doesn't have a win yet. And keep an eye on Marcos Ambrose, as he can be a potential darkhorse to make the chase.