- 4,464
- Azle, TX
- supermanfromazle
- SanjiHimura
Looking into our crystal ball, it is time to discuss the future of our country again. The fate of us, the voter, directly effects by our choices in the leaders that we select.
Polling Policy: Any polls that are on the OP until the nominees are decided will be recycled twice a month (usually on the first and 15th). After the nominees are decided, or the conventions of both parties have taken place (whichever is earlier), both a Hypothetical Presidential poll and Trump's Job Approval numbers will be updated weekly (on Friday).
Also note that as with the last election thread, I will keep a metric on the US House with a Republican X and a Democrat Y poll that will be updated weekly when the poll is available on Real Clear Politics. Please keep in mind that this will not reflect your voting district, and you should keep your local news sources on hand if you wish to keep track of your local races.
Here is what is up for grabs this election cycle
The United States Presidency
Republican:
President Donald J. Trump
Vice President Mike Pence
(in 2016, President Trump won 27 States with 276 Electoral Votes)
Democrat (Candidates):
Cory Booker (49 years of age) (Feb. 1st, 2019)
Julian Castro (44 years of age) (Jan. 12th, 2019)
John Delaney (55 years of age) (July 28th, 2017)
Tulsi Gabbard (37 years of age) (Jan. 11th, 2019)
Kamala Harris (54 years of age) (Jan. 21st, 2019)
Elizabeth Warren (69 years of age) (Feb. 9th, 2019)
In addition, as many as 200 people have either filed or formed exploratory committees to run for President as a Democrat.
Libertarian (candidates):
Adam Kokesh (37 years of age) (July 18th, 2013)
Arvin Vohra (39 years of age) (July 3rd, 2018)
In addition, US Rep. Justin Amash has publically expressed interest in running as a libertarian.
Independent/other parties
Candidates to note:
Green Party co-founder Howie Hawkins
Former Govenor of Minnesota Jessie Ventura
Akon (the rapper)
Mark Cuban (Owner of the Dallas Mavericks)
Howard Schultz (Former chairman of Starbucks)
Conventions:
Republican: August 24-27 in Charlotte, NC
Democrat: July 13-16 in a city to be announced.
Libertarian: May 22-25 in Austin, TX
Debates:
TBA
United States Senate
Current Balance of Power:
Democrat: 45
Republican: 53
Independent 2
Not up for election:
Democrat: 33
Republican: 31
Independent: 2
Up for election:
Democrat: 12
Republican: 20 (1 is a special Election to finish Sen. John McCain's term)
Open Seats: 2
SHIFT: Democrats need 4 seats at best to flip the Senate.
States up for grabs:
Alabama (Doug Jones)
Alaska (Dan Sullivan)
Arizona (Martha McSally) (Special Election)
Arkansas (Tom Cotton)
Colorado (Cory Gardner)
Delaware (Chris Coons)
Georgia (David Perdue)
Idaho (Jim Risch)
Illinois (Dick Durbin)
Iowa (Joni Ernst)
Kansas (Pat Roberts) (retiring)
Kentucky (Mitch McConnell)
Louisiana (Bill Cassidy)
Maine (Susan Collins)
Michigan (Gary Peters)
Minnesota (Tina Smith)
Mississippi (Cindy Hyde-Smith)
Montana (Steve Daines)
Nebraska (Ben Sasse)
New Hampshire (Jeanne Shaheen)
New Jersey (Cory Booker)
New Mexico (Tom Udall)
North Carolina (Thom Tillis)
Oklahoma (Jim Inhofe)
Oregon (Jeff Merkley)
Rhode Island (Jack Reed)
South Carolina (Lindsey Graham)
South Dakota (Mike Rounds)
Tennessee (Lamar Alexander)
Texas (John Cornyn)
Virginia (Mark Warner)
West Virginia (Shelley Moore Capito)
Wyoming (Mike Enzi)
The United States House of Representatives
Seats up for grabs: 435 (198 Republicans, 235 Democrats, 0 Independents and 2 vacancies)
The Balance of Power
198 Republicans
235 Democrats
0 Independents
2 Vacancies
Shift:
Governorships:
Total States: 11
Republican: 6
Democrats: 3
Open Seats: 2 (1 Republican and 1 Democrat)
Delaware (John Carney)
Indiana (Eric Holcomb)
Missouri (Mike Parson)
New Hampshire (Chris Sununu)
North Carolina (Roy Cooper)
North Dakota (Doug Burgum)
Vermont (Phil Scott)
Washington (Jay Inslee)
West Virginia (Jim Justice)
Montana's Governor Steve Bullock is Term-Limited while Utah's Gary Herbert is retiring.
Polls:
Trump's Approval Numbers:
Approve: 43.6%
Disapprove: 53.6%
Spread: 10%
Democrat Primary:
Biden: 32.8%
Sanders: 12.3%
No other candidate breached 10% of the vote
Source: RCP Averages
Polling Policy: Any polls that are on the OP until the nominees are decided will be recycled twice a month (usually on the first and 15th). After the nominees are decided, or the conventions of both parties have taken place (whichever is earlier), both a Hypothetical Presidential poll and Trump's Job Approval numbers will be updated weekly (on Friday).
Also note that as with the last election thread, I will keep a metric on the US House with a Republican X and a Democrat Y poll that will be updated weekly when the poll is available on Real Clear Politics. Please keep in mind that this will not reflect your voting district, and you should keep your local news sources on hand if you wish to keep track of your local races.
Here is what is up for grabs this election cycle
The United States Presidency
Republican:
President Donald J. Trump
Vice President Mike Pence
(in 2016, President Trump won 27 States with 276 Electoral Votes)
Democrat (Candidates):
Cory Booker (49 years of age) (Feb. 1st, 2019)
Julian Castro (44 years of age) (Jan. 12th, 2019)
John Delaney (55 years of age) (July 28th, 2017)
Tulsi Gabbard (37 years of age) (Jan. 11th, 2019)
Kamala Harris (54 years of age) (Jan. 21st, 2019)
Elizabeth Warren (69 years of age) (Feb. 9th, 2019)
In addition, as many as 200 people have either filed or formed exploratory committees to run for President as a Democrat.
Libertarian (candidates):
Adam Kokesh (37 years of age) (July 18th, 2013)
Arvin Vohra (39 years of age) (July 3rd, 2018)
In addition, US Rep. Justin Amash has publically expressed interest in running as a libertarian.
Independent/other parties
Candidates to note:
Green Party co-founder Howie Hawkins
Former Govenor of Minnesota Jessie Ventura
Akon (the rapper)
Mark Cuban (Owner of the Dallas Mavericks)
Howard Schultz (Former chairman of Starbucks)
Conventions:
Republican: August 24-27 in Charlotte, NC
Democrat: July 13-16 in a city to be announced.
Libertarian: May 22-25 in Austin, TX
Debates:
TBA
United States Senate
Current Balance of Power:
Democrat: 45
Republican: 53
Independent 2
Not up for election:
Democrat: 33
Republican: 31
Independent: 2
Up for election:
Democrat: 12
Republican: 20 (1 is a special Election to finish Sen. John McCain's term)
Open Seats: 2
SHIFT: Democrats need 4 seats at best to flip the Senate.
States up for grabs:
Alabama (Doug Jones)
Alaska (Dan Sullivan)
Arizona (Martha McSally) (Special Election)
Arkansas (Tom Cotton)
Colorado (Cory Gardner)
Delaware (Chris Coons)
Georgia (David Perdue)
Idaho (Jim Risch)
Illinois (Dick Durbin)
Iowa (Joni Ernst)
Kansas (Pat Roberts) (retiring)
Kentucky (Mitch McConnell)
Louisiana (Bill Cassidy)
Maine (Susan Collins)
Michigan (Gary Peters)
Minnesota (Tina Smith)
Mississippi (Cindy Hyde-Smith)
Montana (Steve Daines)
Nebraska (Ben Sasse)
New Hampshire (Jeanne Shaheen)
New Jersey (Cory Booker)
New Mexico (Tom Udall)
North Carolina (Thom Tillis)
Oklahoma (Jim Inhofe)
Oregon (Jeff Merkley)
Rhode Island (Jack Reed)
South Carolina (Lindsey Graham)
South Dakota (Mike Rounds)
Tennessee (Lamar Alexander)
Texas (John Cornyn)
Virginia (Mark Warner)
West Virginia (Shelley Moore Capito)
Wyoming (Mike Enzi)
The United States House of Representatives
Seats up for grabs: 435 (198 Republicans, 235 Democrats, 0 Independents and 2 vacancies)
The Balance of Power
198 Republicans
235 Democrats
0 Independents
2 Vacancies
Shift:
Governorships:
Total States: 11
Republican: 6
Democrats: 3
Open Seats: 2 (1 Republican and 1 Democrat)
Delaware (John Carney)
Indiana (Eric Holcomb)
Missouri (Mike Parson)
New Hampshire (Chris Sununu)
North Carolina (Roy Cooper)
North Dakota (Doug Burgum)
Vermont (Phil Scott)
Washington (Jay Inslee)
West Virginia (Jim Justice)
Montana's Governor Steve Bullock is Term-Limited while Utah's Gary Herbert is retiring.
Polls:
Trump's Approval Numbers:
Approve: 43.6%
Disapprove: 53.6%
Spread: 10%
Democrat Primary:
Biden: 32.8%
Sanders: 12.3%
No other candidate breached 10% of the vote
Source: RCP Averages
Last edited: