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they're gonna end up eliminating every used vehicle that costs under 20-25 thousand dollars at this rate. I'd rather see 4500 cash for JUNKERS, which actually DESERVE to be scarapped, not these poor buggers that get tossed (as per american habit) the minute a fuse blows!
this is a repeat of what they tried back in 91 (and loudly lamented in Hot Rod), but there was no "cash incentive" then.
Probably not. Here's why:
Cars that are worth more than $4500 are not likely to be scrapped. People who do scrap cars worth that much are dumb enough to be pretty few and far between.
Cars that get over 18mpg EPA are not eligible, so a lot of cars under $4500 will still be alive.
The cars that would be worth more than $4500 (say that S80) are probably suffering from major problems to the point that scrapping in the program is the most economical solution.
You'll still see a lot of people with a potential "clunker" that won't be able to afford the payments on a new car, even with the government helping them out.
I think we'll see it having an effect on the cheap end of the used car market, but I don't think it'll be a disaster that creates a widespread shortage of cars that people need.