Estimate GT Sport sales

Discussion in 'Gran Turismo Sport' started by Earth, Aug 4, 2017.

?

How many copies will GT Sport sell?

Poll closed Oct 18, 2017.
  1. 1m

    6.6%
  2. 2m

    8.1%
  3. 3m

    15.8%
  4. 4m

    7.3%
  5. 5m

    16.8%
  6. 6m

    9.9%
  7. 7m

    12.5%
  8. 8m

    5.9%
  9. 9m

    2.6%
  10. 10m+

    14.7%
  1. Earth

    Earth

    Messages:
    7,721
    Im going with 4 million.

    Competition from PCARS, Assetto Corsa, F1 2017, along with being thin on content and no real career mode will hurt it
     
  2. Northstar

    Northstar Premium

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    42
     
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  3. sems4arsenal

    sems4arsenal Premium

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    I'll be surprised if it does anything less than 6-7 million.
     
  4. hankolerd

    hankolerd

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    United States
    The first (and possibly the last) GT game available for PS4? And one of the best games available on the market to showcase HDR tech in new high end tv's? I suspect a high uptake. Not all within the first few months, but I think over 2-3 years as they work on more content (they are claiming their sole focus right now is DLC). I will be a bit surprised if it hasn't hit or exceeded 10M 3 years from now.
     
  5. fasj6418

    fasj6418

    Messages:
    2,342
    Location:
    Brazil
    I went with 3 million. I think they completely missed the mark in terms of content and focus. I don´t know who they are targeting with this game, casual in one front, hardcore with the e-sports... in the end it will be worst than GT6, which barely broke 5 million.
     
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  6. Lee x sensai

    Lee x sensai

    Messages:
    300
    Are we talk about first week sell ? Or lifetime sell ? First week sale going be different from lifetime sell. Since lifetime sell will get discounts after be release over a year. People will buy it for the cheap price.
     
  7. Peasantslayer

    Peasantslayer

    Messages:
    2,965
    The lack of traditional SP content could harm sales as a lot of people clearly aren't happy about it but the online focus could really cause it to take off and become the platform's go-to racing game for a lot of people. I say 7 million.
     
  8. zzz_pt

    zzz_pt Premium

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    In what time frame? We don't know if there will be a next GT or if GTS will turn out as service based game.

    I think it's impossible to predict how it will sell, especially with its focus on the online gameplay and the PS+ requirement.

    I'd still say 5 millions until 2020.
     
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  9. mastretta_mx

    mastretta_mx

    Messages:
    728
    Location:
    Mexico
    I think 3 million during the first 3 months, the lack of content will hurt the game with among the diehard fans and sim racing niche, but I think will do better that PC2 for example,, not because PC2 quality but most of the people I know that own a PS4 even ignore (unfortunately) the existence of games like Assetto and Project Cars, even those that are petrolheads IRL, so I think most of those 3milliion will be casuals as usual
     
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  10. GT6mebe

    GT6mebe

    Messages:
    668
    A conservative 6 million. Will be a big hit but I feel the lack of content and online focus may result in either a new GT coming out soon or a lower tail in sales.

    If they nail the release and have a good DLC plan it could easily outdo this number.
     
  11. Lord Kacperov

    Lord Kacperov

    Messages:
    451
    Location:
    Belgium
    How about 69? :sly:
     
  12. z71L28

    z71L28

    Messages:
    241
    Location:
    United States
    GT5's and GT6's day one sales figures will be much stronger then GTS's. Due to the fact that the games future dependes on DLC content. GTS will not reach or surpass GT5's sales figures IMO but only time will tell.
     
    TheNuvolari likes this.
  13. 919 Hybrid

    919 Hybrid Premium

    Messages:
    2,207
    Location:
    United Kingdom
    420?
     
  14. JoaoSilva

    JoaoSilva

    Messages:
    1,410
    Location:
    Portugal
    The game is going to sell a lot , it always does , it will be bundled with many PS consoles and very promoted by Sony , also because it's a great game.
     
  15. FerrariF1GT

    FerrariF1GT

    Messages:
    573
    Location:
    United States
    Given the PS4's mega-large install base, past sales numbers for Gran Turismo games, and the ambitious FIA partnership (you could be a real racing driver!*), I think this is going to be a smash hit.

    *If you're fast enough in-game
     
  16. queleuleu

    queleuleu

    Messages:
    2,080
    Racing games are a thing of the past. It's over. Even real races don't have the huge popularity. Wheter good or bad, Gtsport won't sell like Gt3. It's not even a matter of quality, Forza is seen like a good game and don't sell millions like the old GTs.
     
  17. CodeCmdr

    CodeCmdr

    Messages:
    280
    Location:
    Austria
    I guess 5 million in its lifetime, which I think may even be too optimistic, since there's more competition and old school GT fans have been disappointed by PD's efforts over the years.

    The hardcore racers will prefer racing sims with more realistic physics (PCars 2), and the casuals will prefer a racing game with a full-blown career mode where they can collect cars and win every race (Forza 7).

    So who will buy GTS? Old school GT fans, gamers who want good online racing on a console, and gamers who care more about graphics than game-play. I think PD/Sony's huge marketing budget will help GTS sell a lot more than than the features and qualities of the product itself. I can afford to buy PCars 2 and GTS, fortunately, but if I were a poor student and had to pick just 1, I'd go for PCars 2.
     
  18. TheNuvolari

    TheNuvolari

    Messages:
    1,138
    Location:
    Hungary
    I really worry about sales. I hope the game will sell at least 3 million.
     
  19. VYPA-SQUAD_Ace

    VYPA-SQUAD_Ace

    Messages:
    1,179
    Lifetime sales, anywhere from 5.8 to 6.3 million.
     
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  20. sebmugi

    sebmugi

    Messages:
    1,591
    for one year 7 million.. :tup:
     
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  21. TheNuvolari

    TheNuvolari

    Messages:
    1,138
    Location:
    Hungary
    You guys are really optimistic! :):tup: That's another thing what I like in this site! :gtpflag::cheers:
     
  22. fikridroid

    fikridroid

    Messages:
    189
    Location:
    Indonesia
    Or gamers that wanted a 2P split-screen/couch co-op compatible racing sim on PS4? Neither that PC2, AC and DR/D4 had it
     
  23. GT6mebe

    GT6mebe

    Messages:
    668
    Its true the racing genre has kind of collapsed but thats mainly in the US and Japan. Still incredibly popular in EU and other parts of the world.
    Forza Motorsport was never a good seller let alone near GT in popularity. The games debut very low on NPD (<200k) and the only sales goals we get is 1 or 2 million. Furthermore, with XB1 now being outsold by PS4 2:1 it may be doing even worse.

    GT, as much as people like to deny it, is a massive brand thats been around for decades due to its quality and creativity. GT5 sold near 12 million, GT6 is nearing 5.5 million. The only other racing game that gets to these numbers (and more) is Mario Kart.
     
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  24. ToyGTone

    ToyGTone

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    6,611
    Location:
    Bahrain
    It's actually the other way around over here. Local Motorsports events are getting a bit more popular than ever, although still not that popular.
    Racing/driving game wise, i would say it got less popular than the PS2/1 Era but still far more popular compared to MMORPG and games like War Thunder, Doom, bio shark...etc.

    Apart from Crash Bandicoot, Call Of Duty, Minecraft, FIFA, Overwatch and GTA V, racing games are still there sitting in the middle between the average causal games everyone plays and really niche titles and such.

    -----------------------------------
    Despite all what i have said, i think it would reach around 1-2 million at most. I don't think people are interested in GT anymore especially since PDI went for a totally different from the usual GT.
     
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  25. ApexDrift123

    ApexDrift123

    Messages:
    562
    Location:
    United Kingdom
    7m , a bit more than Gt6 , now it's on next gen, but with no major career mode and other games this will bring it down a bit.
     
    Master Weasel likes this.
  26. VBR

    VBR Premium

    Messages:
    5,391
    Location:
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    I'd like to see Project CARS 2 be pretty much bug free & stable upon launch then go on to outsell GT Sport considerabley. Reason being is that SMS are really trying to deliver something the community actually wants, whereas Kaz & Co are just regurgitating essentially the same 20 year old concept yet again.
     
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  27. zzz_pt

    zzz_pt Premium

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    Location:
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    FTFY

    Some people would say, Kaz included, GTS is the start of a new era and a different direction for GT though.

    PD never did what people wanted in the past. They did what they wanted and it happened that people liked it. Let's see if it works again with GTS.
     
  28. VBR

    VBR Premium

    Messages:
    5,391
    Location:
    United Kingdom
    There were no serious racing sims before for them to compete against, people had very little option other than to like it. I'm sure they'll sell loads of off nostalgia, & the loyal fan base, but I think they have underestimated how many people like a full career mode, I think they've shot themselves in the foot with that one & will sell less as a result. SMS are innovative, dedicated, & have a great concept in WMD; I hope they knock 7 bells of :censored: out of PD!

    :p
     
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  29. AudiMan2011

    AudiMan2011 Contributing Writer

    Messages:
    10,674
    Location:
    Scotland
    2 million would be a reasonable guesstimate especially with no sustainable single player, low car and track lists (in GT terms) and customers who may be much more weary about what PD does now after being burned with GT6 (or burned twice if GT5 is included).
     
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  30. zzz_pt

    zzz_pt Premium

    Messages:
    6,314
    Location:
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    So since 1997 people have been playing GT games by the millions because they're forced into buying it (no other options) and not because they like it?

    I want SMS to do good too with PC2 (I'll buy the game). That's completely different than hoping for another developer to go down because they don't cater to my personal needs and wants. If you don't like GT don't buy it, as a lot of people will do. Because no one has to like a game and buy it.