With the announcement of GT Sport, how much longer will GT6 remain actively supported/live by PD? I'm thinking the plug will be pulled in a year or so.
A year or . . . so?
Well, that depends how long 'so' is.
Less than 2 years?
In that case I would agree with your prediction; from a present-moment POV it seems plausible.
But the market changes - 'stuff happens' - we lost GT5 online support sooner than most players expected.
We have to ask ourselves -
why would Sony want to pull the plug? Why would they want to lose the available players on PS3? How would they confidently offset that loss across their online player-base?
Marketwise, Sony
shouldn't care what you like to play as long as you are logged in and playing something.
Could they maintain
both platforms online successfully (for GT-related activities) even after the next full iteration of Gran Turismo came out?
This would then point to resources - if they have the resources, they will maintain online support for the game
if it remains popular.
It would be counter-productive for them to expend resources on a dying game than throw it at a new game they are trying to push.
So what I'm seeing is this:
GT SPORTS becomes an app that is predominantly Online - think GT Academy-level guys racing each other for the whole world to see and cheer on - whether rooting for manufacturer or country.
In effect it would be like buying GT Academy on a separate disc, but with a whole eSports tang to it that allows real people to play and race virtually and be rewarded side by side with real world racers at the end of all championships.
eSports is a huge market - and Sony obviously thinks racing, and race-spectating, is a huge and unexplored slice - and they are getting into it, and they are getting into it with solid experience at running online tournaments of this sort.
How much fun would it be to watch a bunch of our GT Academy athletes actually racing each other on TV? That will come - and ESPN is probably nose-deep in it already.
There will also be all sorts of 'plug and play' modes to go into for those who just like to use it for events online, so it would cater to all ages - but it would be predominantly an eSports-influenced app.
This will be no challenge to GT6 on PS3 for some time - as GT6 and its present online lobby system, as well as Seasonals, are still popular. It could be quite possible that GT6 continues to be boosted even after the Beta of GTSPORTS goes online - so that what is missing or 'expected' in GTSPORTS is filled into GT6.
Then along will come what may formally be called 'GT 7'. It is 6 months after this that GT6 support may be closed - unless there is still a huge market for the online GT6 game, and I would doubt it would have that hold on the players after GTSPORTS is in full swing, and GT7 comes out with its PS4 bells and whistles.