To think... Arizona used to be the laughing stocks of the NFL. Always falling on their faces. Now, they look like a team destined for Tampa Bay and perhaps send a message to the AFC team that may defend the other end zone in Tampa Bay.
TMQHome teams in the NFL divisional round are the surest thing in sports, except perhaps if San Diego plays Dallas in December. Since the current playoff format was adopted in 1990, home teams in the divisional round are 55-17, a .764 winning percentage. Usually the reason the home teams are at home in the first place is because they are better than the wild-card teams. Equally important, in the divisional round the home teams have spent a bye week relaxing in hot tubs while their opponents were out being pounded.
Two Titans fumbles and a Collins interception. Zero Ravens fumble and no interceptions for Flacco. End result: Ravens win. That is how much turnovers matter - almost double the total yards gained and drives up the field all night, but killed by the turnovers. And a good red zone defense.
Oh, and there was that missed delay of game penalty. It helped, but didn't guarantee the Ravens a win. And really, it's not like it was the first missed call of the game / season, and we've been on the losing side quite a bit.
Anyway, at the end of the day, the Titans only managed one TD and one FG despite all those yards and marches up the field. If they shoulda won, they woulda won.
According to ESPN's "Pardon the Interruption," the Tennessee Titans are complaining of an obvious Delay of Game penalty that wasn't called late in Baltimore's 13-10 victory. Your thoughts on all of this?
Oh, and on the no call delay of game, it's not like they barely converted the 3rd and 2, they gained 22 yards on the play. I know the situational implications change quite a bit on 3rd and 7, but I don't see that play being the key to the game, the turnovers were definitely a much bigger factor.
Also, since we have our Final Four to decide the Super Bowl... now would be a great time to name your Super Bowl. So hit it!
Honestly, after what I've seen this season, nobody can really predict who's going to win with a straight face. Flip a coin.
I'd like to see the Steelers in the Super Bowl. And I'd like to see them play the opponent they matchup best against. So I'm hoping for (Not predicting) Steelers vs. Cardinals.
Chances of that happening are slim. Not very likely that both home teams will win this weekend. Also not very likely that both will lose. Just hoping I can maintain my sanity between now and then. It's a great problem to have, but I've seen the Steelers play in 6 AFC Championships in the last 15 years (This will be their 7th). They've only managed to win 2 AFC Championships and one Super Bowl. But their franchise QB is now at the prime of his career. The losses in the 4 AFC Championships and 1 Super Bowl were by the likes of Neil O'Donnell, Kordell Stewart, and a rookie they called Big Ben. And they were playing against Tom Brady in two of them, John Elway in one, Troy Aikman in one, with the only non-Hall of Fame QB being Stan Humphries of San Diego in the 1994 AFC Championship. Joe Flacco is no Tom Brady, and Big Ben is no Neil O'Donnell.
So I do like my Steelers chances, but there's a reason they play the games......
..that hasn't exactly been a good gauge so far.
TMQSince the current playoff format was adopted in 1990, home teams in the divisional round are 55-17, a .764 winning percentage. Usually the reason the home teams are at home in the first place is because they are better than the wild-card teams. Equally important, in the divisional round the home teams have spent a bye week relaxing in hot tubs while their opponents were out being pounded. Home teams dominate the NFL divisional round, so check-mark them in your office pool. You don't even need to know who's playing!
A week later in the championship round, the home advantage dissipates. Since 1990, home teams in conference championship games are 21-15, a .583 winning percentage. That's only a tad better than the rate at which home teams won all games over the same period. (So far this season, home teams are .554.) In the championship round, nobody's had the previous week off and the Super Bowl is just one W away. Players leave everything on the field in championship contests. So at the next step, the home team won't necessarily be the favorite. But this weekend, look homeward. And of course, if the visitors win, remember the Tuesday Morning Quarterback guarantee: All Predictions Wrong or Your Money Back.
TMQFor years this column has called the team in question the Arizona (Caution: May Contain Football-Like Substance) Cardinals. But will they not host Sunday's NFC championship? Sure, it's the Cardinals' first championship appearance in 60 years, but they are hosts, and no other NFC team can make that claim. Did the Cardinals not just blow heavily favored Carolina off the Panthers' own field? Did the Cardinals' defense not recover from games in which it surrendered 56, 47, 37 and 35 points to allow only 13 points to the heavily favored Panthers? Has Arizona not just won two playoff games in the same season for the first time in the franchise's 89-year history?