I don't see how some of you can make your picks without seeing any practice or qualifying results.
It's Talladega, which make it pretty safe to say, that all of the analyzing in the world won't help you. Look at Trevor Bayne. It's not about who's a better driver, it's only about being in the right place, at the right time.
Practice speeds mean nothing with the 2 car draft. In fact, they have a reverse meaning, because the guy who's fastest in practice, I can guarantee isn't the fastest; the guy pushing him was.
Qualifying? Any car can come from the back to the front in 1 lap at any time during the race. A wreck can happen in the front 10, middle 10, back 10, anywhere. It's all luck, just try not to be in the wrong place at the wrong time. Furthermore qualifying at Dega is harder to judge. The first lap is just getting up to speed, the 2nd lap is your only chance. The tiniest of mistakes, cost's you 10 positions or more, because of that minuscule amount of speed you missed for a split second. Not to mention, the new schedules have the drivers qualifying cold, without a second of seat time, since the day prior, which further promotes inaccuracies of true speed.
Restrictor Plate races are a like a roulette wheel. Pick a few numbers and hope for the best.